El Niño may increase dengue risk in Kerala, IITM study finds; climate model predicts 16-20% rise by 2040, with warning signals potentially available months before seasonal outbreaks

A new study suggests that El Niño warming in the Pacific may heighten the danger of dengue fever in Kerala. Warmer ocean waters correlate with drier pre-monsoon weather, creating optimal breeding conditions for mosquitoes. Researchers have crafted a forecasting model to predict dengue cases